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This Dogument is the Property of His Britannic Majesty a Government, and should be returned to the Foreign Office if not required for official use.]
437
Decypher.
Sir R. Macleay (Peking).
21st December, 1925.
D.
5.00 p.m. 21st December, 1925.
R.
1.50 p.m. 21st Decembor, 1925.
No. 543.
At commencement of present hostilities it was generally expected that Chang's power in Manchuria would shortly collapse, that Li would be expelled from Tientsin and that Feng and his party would be left supreme in North China at any rate for the time being. A month has since elapsed however ard while civil war is spreading, militery situation seems to be drifting into usual stalemate. Provisional government which came into existence a year ago in frankly unconstitu- tional way continues to function but in name only under Chief Executive (who is virtually a prisoner) While Feng and his Kuomintang friends wait on events. Officially it is no consolation to say that political outlook is more complex and more obscure and legal basis and status of central government more attenuated and more unrepresentative than ever before in history of Chinese Republic. No one whether Chinese or foreigner has any idea of what the outcome may be. Tariff conference for the moment in abeyance except for private discussions between delegations. Railway
Communications with Tientsin have been interrupted for
a fortnight thus preventing our representative on extra- territorial commission (7 group omitted).
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